Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Chris Colley's TV Morsels Episode 5: Chris Colley's TV Morsel Of The Year 2014

Welcome to the inaugural Chris Colley's TV Morsels "Morsel of the Year".  From now until as long as I do this blog, I will be picking out one scene, clip, or line that was my favorite of that particular year.  For the first one ever, even though the show the clip comes from is on my lumps of coal list, I couldn't pass it up.  Will it be enough to get Paul Lieberstein an EMMY nomination as a Guest Actor?  I guess we'll have to wait about a zillion more months to find out.  Congratulations to this clip from the third episode of the final season of The Newsroom!  You are my "Chris Colley's TV Morsel of the Year" for 2014.  Happy New Year, and thanks for reading!

You'll unfortunately have to click the link here to see it, since my blog can't seem to find the video:

Chris Colley's TV Morsels Episode 5: Chris Colley's TV Morsel of the Year 2014

Saturday, December 27, 2014

Chris Colley's TV Blog*'s 10 Lumps of Scripted TV Coal I Received And Watched In 2014 (Euphemism For 10 Worst, Because Worst Is Too Strong)

I gave you my 15 favorite shows, and now it's time for me to tell you about 10 shows I was extremely disappointed in during 2014.  Amazingly, I had a difficult time finding 10 shows to put on this list.  It was a year of great, and a year of mediocre.  I didn't bother with stuff that didn't appeal to me to begin with, and that's probably why it was more of a struggle to fill the list.  If it weren't for two shows' seasons crashing and burning by the end, I'm not sure what I would have done.

A lot of these shows were canceled, or are going to be canceled.  Being ranked number 1 on this list means I thought you were the worst of the worst.  Being ranked on this list doesn't mean I didn't watch every episode (or even that it was overtly terrible), it's just that I thought the shows could have been done a lot better.  However, some of these shows were overtly terrible, and yet I still couldn't avert my eyes.  Again, Happy New Year, and thanks for reading!

1. Bad Judge (NBC)

Ho-ly s***, this show's Pilot was awful.  I didn't even bother sticking around for another episode, and that's fairly rare for me on comedies, knowing what it takes to develop them into more well-rounded shows.  I didn't have the patience, because it was just so over the top bad for me.

2. Mulaney (FOX)

I gave this show four shots to pull its head out of its a**, and it failed every time.  Really good comedy talent was behind this show, so I just can't see it as anything other than a very poorly executed trolling of the typical multi-camera sitcom audience.  Technically, the show worked, everything else...didn't.

3. Rake (FOX)

In poker, you pay rake when playing.  This show felt like what you pay when playing.  Not even Greg Kinnear's playing of a completely unlikable lead could save this show.  It just didn't work at all.

4. Murder in the First (TNT)

This was a terrible law procedural with apparently a complete lack of self awareness.  It was a case that could have been solved in 45 minutes, and ended up having a terrible payoff after a period of time that must have gone on as long or longer than the OJ trial.  Some good talent was involved, and all I'll say about that is that some good talent was involved.

5. Tyrant (FX)

If this show hadn't been renewed for a second season, it would have been a bigger waste of time than the doomed NBC TV show, Awake.  Instead, it got renewed, The Bridge got canceled, and now it will end up being an even bigger waste of time than one season would have been.  If it didn't provide such good material for Chris Colley's TV Morsels, it would be even more of a waste of time.  Because of that, it is the most entertainingly bad show on this list.

6. Welcome to Sweden (NBC)

I only watched the Pilot, but how did this show happen?  Nepotism sux, Amy Poehler!

7. Working the Engels (NBC)

This show had a Pilot that showed a ton of comedy potential.  So much for that.  Thanks Jason Priestley!

8. The Mysteries of Laura (NBC)

This show had so much potential, and it has still yet to realize it.  I don't think it ever will, but I'll keep watching with hope that it does.

9. Homeland (Showtime)

From the moment of a particular gunshot to the opening of a particular door, Homeland had finally found its way back into being a pretty damn good TV show.  Unfortunately for the show, it was book ended by a BUNCH of crap, and that's why it ended up right back on this list despite having a chance at hitting my favorite 15 as recently as three or four weeks ago.

10. The Newsroom (HBO)

I enjoyed the first two episodes of this season A TON.  About half of the third episode went back to bad The Newsroom, and then the show evidently fell off the side of a cliff to end with one of the most resounding series finale thuds I've heard in awhile.  Still, my favorite scene of the year happened in this show (I'll post it before the New Year), proving that not all was bad on The Newsroom, just well more than half of it was.

Chris Colley's TV Blog*'s Fifteen Favorite Shows of 2014

Everyone loves doing best of lists at the end of the year.  In the case of this list, it's not a best of, it's just my 15 favorite shows of 2014.  Remember, this isn't an objective list, it's only featuring the shows I watch.  Some great shows hold absolutely no appeal for me, so I don't watch them.  Don't hate.  With that said, it was an insanely great year for good TV, and because of that I've decided to make this list include 15 shows instead of my typical 10.  I think every show on this list is worth checking out, and hope you will.  I hope you all have a prosperous and safe 2015!  Happy New Year, and thanks for reading!

1. Fargo (FX)

This season of Fargo was literally as good as TV can get for me, and nearly everything I watch in the future will be measured against this one particular season.  The show had its flaws, but they were minimal, and every second spent with the show was worth it.  I've seen every episode probably at least 4 times, and think you should see it even more than that.  If you didn't watch it, why not?  If you want to watch it, what are you waiting for?  My last note is that it is absolutely criminal that Martin Freeman didn't win the EMMY for Lead Actor in a Miniseries or whatever the category is called.  It's rare to see two absolutely stunning performances in one TV season, and I'll get to the other a little later in this list.

2. Hannibal (NBC)

The goriest show in network TV history takes the number 2 slot with an incredible second season.  This show has constantly been on the chopping block for NBC, but it managed to get renewed for a third season.  Because of that, I think we'll get to see every season Bryan Fuller originally intended to make.  Stranger things have happened, but we should get 4 more seasons of this show.  I'm not into the gore, but the artistry, storytelling, and acting make it well worth your while.  The stupid EMMYs might feel comfortable with ignoring it, but I'm not.  Keep up the good work Fuller and team.

3. The Missing (BBC/Starz)

Coming as the biggest surprise on this list was the BBC/Starz show, The Missing.  Even with an ending that might polarize you, it's well worth the ride.  The surprise portion of the program is that it's ahead of True Detective in my list.  While True Detective was an incredible ride, it had plenty of flaws that The Missing didn't, and that's why The Missing is ending up above True Detective for me.

4. True Detective (HBO)

When this show was airing, I thought there was no way it would end up below number 1 on my list for 2014.  Little did I realize how great this year would be for TV.  Viewed through the lens of character study, the show completely worked.  Viewed through the lens of a "case", it might leave you feeling a little flat.  Matthew McConaughey's performance was one of the best I can ever remember seeing on TV, and Woody Harrelson's work really elevated as the series went along.  It had a few problems, but none of them warrant it falling any lower than this on my list.

5. Veep (HBO)

By a wide margin, this is my favorite comedy.  It has great performances top to bottom, and is the most consistently funny show I watch.  Only one other comedy will end up in my top 15, and it's the one that makes me laugh the most.  I love this show, and if you're not watching it, you're missing out...almost as much as how much The Academy is missing out on Hannibal.

6. Person of Interest (CBS)

This show being at number 6 should be a very good indication of how great 2014 was for TV.  Person of Interest didn't get any worse than previous seasons, it just got passed.  I think you should be watching it, but if you haven't started by now then maybe it's best you never do.  If you start watching it now, you'll have to wonder why you didn't watch it before.  If you don't want to live a life filled with regret, either start watching it now, or don't watch it at all.

7. Justified (FX)

This season had a few problems, but I really enjoyed it overall.  I was very surprised to find that some people didn't like it.  Maybe their meds need adjustment...or I need to start taking meds.  I guess we'll never know which.  We're coming up on the final season of what I think is truly one of the top 15 or so shows in TV history (and I actually have awareness of TV existing before 1990).  If you haven't watched this show yet, you're doing yourself a grave disservice.

8. House of Cards (Netflix)

This is another show that gets way more hate than it deserves.  I get that people want this to be some kind of realistic political drama, but I LOLHARD@U if that's what you think the show is trying to do.  This show is easily the most elite hyperdrama I have ever seen.  It has so much stuff happening in it that is patently unbelievable, but it presents it in such a way that it almost seems like it's possible.  If you want any indication of how believable the show is intended to be taken, watch the first scene of season 1.  If you walk away from that scene thinking this is going to be a realistic drama, you're doing it wrong.  This is the type of show Scandal aspires to be.  This show was as entertaining as TV gets, even if it's patently ridiculous.  It also features some of the best acting you're going to see in this list, and definitely has one of my favorite directing/shooting styles currently on TV.  Kevin Spacey is awesome in this part, even if you disagree.  I think he'd be better at it without an accent, but what fun would that be?

9. Rectify (Sundance)

Rectify is a super unique show, told in a way no one else dares on TV.  With a long leash to evidently tell its story how it wants, if you have patience, this show is for you.  It features universally excellent performances, and is generally written at a very high level.  While I'm not remembering season 1 as well as I'd like, I have a feeling budget cuts might have had some kind of impact on season 2.  Even with any budget cuts the show might have faced, it still gets there.  One scene in the second season almost made the show jump a few spots, but the scene ended in a way that kept the show right where it is.

10. Transparent (Amazon)

This show explored themes that have never been explored in the television medium in ways that these themes have never dreamed of.  It's filled with a lot of discomfort, sex, nudity, dysfunction, and anything else you can think of.  When people talk about the show in stuff I've read, I hear of authenticity being applauded.  I kind of disagree, and think it plays on the edge of authenticity.  The themes explored in the show are so crushing and painful for the players involved that this show wasn't even a remotely fun watch.  However, when I started ranking my list, the show was just objectively better than the rest of the shows appearing in the top 15 below it.  I think it's a bit overrated, but not by a ton.

11. The Bridge (FX)

The Bridge got canceled, and I was pissed.  This was a great show, and while season 2 was significantly different than season one, it was still a great show.  In any other year, this would have made my top 10, but it couldn't get there this year.  I'm not sure what turned viewers off about season 2, but it might have come down to the fact that the show was far more complex and the storylines were a lot harder to follow in comparison to season 1.  If you never watched this show, you're missing out.  The fact that Tyrant returns while this was canceled is an absolute travesty.

12. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)

While Veep is the most consistently funny comedy I watch, Brooklyn Nine-Nine is by far the funniest comedy I watch.  I generally get 4 or 5 great belly laughs per week, and just absolutely love the show.  When I first started doing my "favorites" list in 2011, I didn't think there was any way I wouldn't have Parks and Recreation in my list.  This just shows how far TV has come for me in the last few years (now that I've actually had time to watch TV again).  Brooklyn Nine-Nine takes its place for me now, and that's just fine by me.

13. Happy Valley (Netflix)

This show is basically in the same type of genre as The Missing, but it's told in a completely different way.  I think its writing is far more simplistic than The Missing, but many of the performances were every bit as good as other shows on this list.  Sarah Lancashire was absolutely fantastic in this show, and one of the characters in this show made me very worried that cops over there didn't carry guns.  At times it's a slow watch, and at others it is extremely intense.  There's nothing polarizing about the ending in this show, but the ride is significantly less "fun" than The Missing.

14. Halt and Catch Fire (AMC)

When Halt and Catch Fire was at its best, it would be well into my top 10, but when it was at its worst it would easily fall into my lumps of coal list.  The vast majority of the show fell somewhere in the middle, and I think the show has a tremendous amount of potential to improve in season 2.  I'm just placing it here to try to help it gain awareness.  Scoot McNairy and Lee Pace were absolutely tremendous in the show, and it was worth watching just for them.  It was also every bit as good at the period look as The Americans, even though some of its choices didn't feel like I was experiencing the same part of the 80s the people making the show were (a lot of Cameron's music choices seemed way off for me).  I have high hopes for season 2 even if I have no clue where they're gonna go with the show after the end of the first season.

15. Bates Motel (A&E)

Fighting for the last spot on my list were Bates Motel and The Americans (FX).  The Americans continues to not live up to its potential for me, so I'm leaving it off the list.  I fully expect The Americans to either make my list next year, or be in my lumps of coal.  It's at its crossroads to reach its potential, and if it doesn't next season it never will.  But, we're not talking about that show here, we're talking about Bates Motel.  I'll freely admit that season 1 was often a frustrating experience, that mostly got there by the end of the season.  Then, season 2 started as an almost absolute dumpster fire.  Its true low point was Norma Bates doing musical theater.  She's very talented, but ain't no one got time for that.  I almost quit the show 3 times, but each episode did just enough to hook me in.  Then, it happened.  The show got GOOD.  It never let off that accelerator the rest of the season, and I have very high hopes for season 3.  I even now believe we have a Norman Bates "trigger" that is believable to me, something that was a major struggle for me to get past in season 1.  If you ever had any interest in the show, give it a shot.  If you still don't like it by the time the big event happens in season 2, you can feel free to drop it.  This pick is again an awareness pick.  Not enough people are aware of this show, and that's a shame, especially since it does plenty well enough in the ratings to stick around.  Vera Farmiga and Freddie Highmore are outstanding in the show, and I really felt for what Freddie had to go through at various points in the season.

Just Missed

The Americans (FX), Grimm (NBC), Silicon Valley (HBO), The Mindy Project (FOX), Parks and Recreation (NBC), Psych (USA), Forever (ABC)

Tuesday, December 16, 2014

Chris Colley's TV Blog*'s Early Pointless Scripted TV Renewal/Cancellation Predictions For The Fall 2014 TV Season (Big 4 Networks Only)

You've probably noticed that I haven't done much writing lately.  Well, you're going to see a small flurry of posting over the next couple of weeks, and even a few more videos.  The first of these will be my yearly pointless predictions post.  Based on past "success", I'm going to give myself credit for being right on everything that's been canceled so far (I would have predicted cancellation for everything that has been).  This post still feels slightly early for me, but I'm afraid the train will get too far down the tracks if I don't post it.

The big question for this season is whether L+3 (Live+3 Day DVR Ratings) ratings will actually matter for NBC.  Last season, they canceled several bubble shows that were good performers in L+3 (as a quick note, if you see me say L+SD, I mean Live+Same Day ratings), but it's unlikely this will happen this season.  Even though I still have zero data that NBC cares about DVR ratings, I can make the case that because one show is so problematic in the ratings that other shows will be positively affected by that.  Part of why I've been waiting so long to do this post is to see how State of Affairs would perform in the DVR ratings.  I was supposed to get the DVR ratings for its second episode yesterday, but for some reason the State of Affairs DVR ratings didn't show up in the list.  So, I'm going to fly a little bit more blind than I'd like on the pick, and might end up revising my early decision about it as I get more data.  That said, I hope you enjoy what I have to say, and we'll see if I end up looking like a fool when all is said and done.

Chris Colley's TV Blog* Estimated Bubbles (this is a ratings threshold NOT an average):

ABC:

Drama (Monday-Thursday)-1.6 in the 18-49 Demo
Drama (Sunday)-1.4 in the 18-49 Demo
Comedy (Monday-Thursday)-1.6 in the 18-49 Demo
Comedy (Friday)-1.2 in the 18-49 Demo

CBS:

Drama (Monday-Thursday)-1.8 in the 18-49 Demo
Comedy (Monday-Thursday)-2.0 in the 18-49 Demo
Drama (Friday-Sunday)-1.2 in the 18-49 Demo

FOX:

Drama (Monday-Thursday)-1.4 in the 18-49 Demo
Comedy (Monday-Thursday)-1.2 in the 18-49 Demo

NBC:

Drama (Monday-Thursday)-1.6 in the 18-49 Demo
Comedy (Monday-Thursday)-1.6 in the 18-49 Demo
Drama (Friday)-1.2 in the 18-49 Demo

Correct guesses in blue
Incorrect guesses in red  

***An important note is that I predict L+3 ratings will play a factor on ALL networks, though their lowest impact will be on NBC, until proven otherwise.  If a show has ratings near or below the bubble, but has good DVR ratings, I will be putting it under "Renew It".  If a show has those same conditions, but mediocre or poor DVR ratings, I have no choice but to put it under "Cancel It".  There are a few exceptions to this methodology, and those exceptions, specifically related to the shows Forever and Constantine are where I think I am mostly likely to be in error.*** 

What I Predict Would Happen If A Decision Were Made Today (animation not factored in):

Sunday (Renew It):

Once Upon a Time (ABC)
Madam Secretary (CBS)
The Good Wife (CBS)
Brooklyn Nine-Nine (FOX)
The Last Man on Earth (FOX-Did not pick a fate in time, but would have picked renewal)
A.D. The Bible Continues (NBC-Listed as Miniseries, but if it can be renewed it will be)
Secrets & Lies (ABC, didn't have this in the list as it was listed as a miniseries but would have predicted renewal)

Sunday (Cancel It):

Resurrection (ABC)
The Mentalist (CBS, Final Season)
CSI (CBS)
Mulaney (FOX)
Galavant (ABC)
Revenge (ABC) *fate changed 4-14-15*
American Odyssey (NBC)
Battle Creek (CBS)

Monday (Renew It):

Castle (ABC)
2 Broke Girls (CBS)
Scorpion (CBS)
NCIS: Los Angeles (CBS)
Mike & Molly (CBS) 
Gotham (FOX)
Sleepy Hollow (FOX)
The Blacklist (NBC)
The Night Shift (NBC)

Monday (Cancel It):

The Millers (CBS)
State of Affairs (NBC)
The Following (FOX)

Tuesday (Renew It):

Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. (ABC)
NCIS (CBS)
NCIS: New Orleans (CBS)
Person of Interest (CBS)
New Girl (FOX)
The Mindy Project (FOX)
Chicago Fire (NBC)
Fresh Off the Boat (ABC)
Undateable (NBC)

Tuesday (Cancel It):

Selfie (ABC)
Manhattan Love Story (ABC)
Forever (ABC)
Marry Me (NBC)
About a Boy (NBC)
Marvel's Agent Carter (ABC)
One Big Happy (NBC)
Weird Loners (FOX)

Wednesday (Renew It):

The Middle (ABC)
The Goldbergs (ABC)
Modern Family (ABC)
Black-ish (ABC)
Nashville (ABC)
Criminal Minds (CBS)
Law & Order: SVU (NBC)
Chicago P.D. (NBC)
Empire (FOX)

Wednesday (Cancel It):

Stalker (CBS)
Red Band Society (FOX)
The Mysteries of Laura (NBC)
CSI: Cyber (CBS) 

Thursday (Renew It):

Grey's Anatomy (ABC)
Scandal (ABC)
How to Get Away with Murder (ABC)
The Big Bang Theory (CBS, Already Renewed)
Mom (CBS)
Elementary (CBS)
Bones (FOX)
The Odd Couple (CBS)

Thursday (Cancel It):

Two and a Half Men (CBS, Final Season)
The McCarthys (CBS)
Gracepoint (FOX)
Bad Judge (NBC)
A to Z (NBC)
Parenthood (NBC, Final Season)
Backstrom (FOX)
Allegiance (NBC)
American Crime (ABC)

Friday (Renew It):

Last Man Standing (ABC)
Hawaii Five-O (CBS)
Blue Bloods (CBS)
Grimm (NBC)

Friday (Cancel It):

Cristela (ABC)
Constantine (NBC)

Notes:

  • My reasoning behind putting State of Affairs in the "Cancel It" pile is that it's up against no competition, and has a great lead in.  It's performing poorly behind its lead in, and against a lack of competition.  While I might later change my mind, as I see DVR ratings, I can't put it in the renew pile in good conscience.
  • When FOX renewed The Mindy Project last season, they pretty much obligated themselves to make the show through its fourth season.  Despite lackluster ratings, and lackluster DVR ratings, The Mindy Project should definitely return.
  • Forever is my second favorite new network TV show this season, and it has a wide disparity in its Live and DVR ratings.  It's against two shows that definitely have people watching Forever on DVR once they've seen their favorite show live.  It has pretty much an atrocious lead in for the type of show it is.  It's certainly good enough to be renewed, but the show's ratings are just not good enough to get another season, in my opinion.  With the amping of the serialized storyline after the break, a decent ratings improvement could change my mind about this.
  • The Mysteries of Laura has been stable for most of the season.  Unfortunately for it, it's been pretty much at the same ratings Revolution had last season, but without the big DVR bump.  Revolution got canceled.  My lone caveat is next, and it is the only path to renewal I see for the show.  Even with that path, I still see very little chance of renewal.
  • NBC and DVR ratings are problematic.  They canceled several shows last season that had excellent DVR ratings, while every other network was renewing poorly performing shows with good DVR ratings.  However, one show has put NBC in a very awkward position in regard to DVR ratings, and because of that, I think they will have no choice but to make DVR ratings factor for *some* of their shows.  If they decide to grade on a curve across the board, that might help a few shows, but I think NBC is very much a cherry picking network when it comes to low rated shows, so don't hold your breath about a giant precedent being set.  If a precedent is set (it will be), it will probably be a fairly insignificant one.  Chicago P.D. is performing very poorly in L+SD ratings, but is performing exceptionally well in L+3.  If this show gets canceled, NBC is hopeless.  Because of this disparity in its ratings, I predict NBC will factor them in and renew it.  This could help shows like The Mysteries of Laura and Constantine, but I think that is pretty unlikely at this time.  NBC has to officially do something that screams a renewal based on DVR ratings for me to think they're a factor.  They haven't done that yet...but they will.
  • Elementary is performing extremely poorly in L+SD this season.  If it weren't about to head into its syndication season, I would be very concerned about it.  The good news is that it is, so it will come back for another season, unless something absolutely extreme happens.  It needs to get propped up somehow, but looking at CBS's current schedule, I can't see where it can benefit.  If CBS decided to move Person of Interest back to Thursdays, maybe that could help, but I doubt it.
  • Constantine is a very good genre show, and NBC hasn't been able to get anything to perform well at 10pm on Friday nights, including the truly exceptional Hannibal.  At some point, NBC has to put their foot down and either change the schedule by moving Dateline back to 10pm, or they have to stick with something.  Grimm and Constantine are two very well matched shows, even though a significant chunk of the Grimm audience doesn't appear to be interested in Constantine.  If you like Constantine, and aren't watching Grimm, you're missing out, though I doubt the same theory would play in reverse.  Constantine is certainly a polarizing show, based on its main themes, but I enjoy it and would like it to stick around.  Unfortunately, it does very poorly in L+SD ratings.  If you're a Nielsen watcher, and want this show to return, you need to start watching it live.  If it can get up to a consistent 1.3 in the 18-49 demo by the end of its run (it currently fluctuates between 0.9-1.1), I could see it getting renewed.  It does well in the DVR ratings, but I don't think how well it does will be enough to sway NBC, based on NBC's past history.  I think that's even more the case when absolutely no prestige will come from this show.  Also worth noting is that even though Constantine did not get a back 9 ordered, I think that means next to nothing with the typical time slot sharing that happens on Fridays at 10pm.  That doesn't mean I think its chances of renewal are better, just that I think that particular decision is a no impact one on Constantine's chances for renewal.  ****UPDATE 2-12-15:  I have read in the press that there is potential Constantine could move to Syfy for a second season, possibly under the original comic name, Hellblazer.  Based on what I've read, I would put the chances of Constantine returning on that channel well above 50 percent, as the rumors don't seem to be the typical PR babble.  It will get canceled from NBC, but I am cautiously optimistic this show will return.  I think it's a practically perfect match for Syfy, and am an board any decision that would put it there.  Stay tuned.****
Well, that's that for now.  I might change some of these predictions over time, and if I do, I'll note the date I changed it.  I'll also add my predictions for Spring 2015 shows in this same post, so bookmark it for updates.  Coming soon will be my 10 Favorite and 10 Lumps of Coal posts for 2014.  I hope you're looking forward to those.  Thanks for reading.

Friday, November 21, 2014

GIVEAWAY WINNER ANNOUNCEMENT: FX TV Show Fargo Season 1 Blu-Ray™ or DVD

All you had to do was enter a very easy giveaway for a chance to win a great and FREE prize.  However, since no one else entered, Jim Callahan will be laughing to his grave about how easy it was for him to win a Blu-Ray™ copy of season 1 of the best TV show of 2014, Fargo.  Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

TV Premiere Ratings Note For Monday, November 17, 2014: State Of Affairs (NBC)

State of Affairs (NBC, Mondays at 10pm ET)

8.60 million Overall Viewers
2.2/7 in the 18-49 Demo

With the incessant promotion of this show, I would have thought it would have done A LOT better than this to start.  Based on the Pilot, I think this show will lead to nowhere but disappointment, so I'm not going to stick with it for now.  We'll know more about this show's prospects in the next two weeks, but I'm gonna say that it's not looking too good for the future of this show today.  Thanks for reading.

Monday, November 17, 2014

GIVEAWAY: FX TV Show Fargo Season 1 Blu-Ray™ Or DVD


I'm no fool, but will help one of you solve the problem of boredom, by giving away one copy of the season 1 Blu-Ray™ or DVD of the brilliant FX TV show, Fargo.  I'll list the steps you need to follow for your chance to win below.

1. Hop on over to http://www.visitfargo.org.

Any mode of transportation is fine

2. Find the current weather report in Fargo.

3. Return back here and post the date, the Fargo time, and current temperature in Fargo in the comments below.  You can't do this anonymously, so create some kind of fun name if you don't have one.  Even though your comment won't show up immediately, don't worry, I'll find it.

Hopefully conscious

4. Once you've done that, send me an email at chriscolleytvblog@hotmail.com giving me an email address where I can reach the username you provided here with your weather report, in the event you are the lucky winner. 

This giveaway is open to anyone who is interested in winning something that will surely make your TV watching IQ rise eleventy billion points.  You know Fargo has my full endorsement as something you should not miss.  It's barely any work for you, so don't disappoint me.

Okay?   

This giveaway will be active until 11:59pm PST on Thursday, November 20, 2014.  I'll announce the winner right here via drawing at some point on Friday, November 20, 2014.  Good luck!

Don't keep me waiting

Friday, November 14, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: The Millers (CBS)

Oh, it's Friday, and that means another cancellation.  This time it's the low performing The Millers.  Maybe next time out, Will Arnett will actually get a third season.  Thanks for reading.

Friday, November 7, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Selfie (ABC)

Unlike the current fad, Selfie is done.  I'm not sure how many remain, and how many will air, but it's done.  Done done done done.  Thanks for reading.

Friday, October 31, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Bad Judge (NBC), A To Z (NBC)

These shows have been canceled.  There are more knocking on death's door.  What will be next?  Thanks for reading.

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Fall 2014-2015 Canceled Scripted TV Shows List (Big 4 Networks Only)

Here's where I'll put all of the scripted TV shows that have been canceled, or effectively canceled, on big 4 network TV for the Fall 2014-2015 TV Season.  It will be updated in real time, so bookmark it if you're looking for up to date news.  The first bloodletting was on Friday, October 24, 2014 (a full 20 days later than the first cut of 2013).  Thanks for reading.

Canceled Or Effectively Canceled Scripted TV Shows in Fall 2014-2015 TV Season:

Manhattan Love Story (ABC) ***CANCELED OCTOBER 24, 2014***
Bad Judge (NBC) ***CANCELED OCTOBER 31, 2014***
A to Z (NBC) ***CANCELED OCTOBER 31, 2014*** 
Selfie (ABC) ***CANCELED NOVEMBER 7, 2014*** 
The Millers (ABC) ***CANCELED NOVEMBER 14, 2014***
Red Band Society (FOX)
Mulaney (FOX)
Gracepoint (FOX)
Allegiance (NBC)
Revenge (ABC)
The Mindy Project (FOX)
Resurrection (ABC)
Forever (ABC)
Cristela (ABC)
CSI (CBS, 2 hour movie planned)
Battle Creek (CBS)
State Of Affairs (NBC)
The Following (FOX)
About a Boy (NBC)
One Big Happy (NBC)
Stalker (CBS)
The McCarthys (CBS)
Backstrom (FOX)
Constantine (NBC) 
Weird Loners (FOX)

TV Ratings Premiere Notes For Friday, October 24, 2014: Grimm (NBC), Constantine (NBC)

Constantine premiered, and Grimm returned.  Let's see how they did below.

Grimm (NBC, Fridays at 9pm ET)

5.30 million Overall Viewers
1.5/5 in the 18-49 Demo

Grimm returned healthily, as it always does.  There should be no end in sight to one of the few bright spots on Friday nights when Hannibal isn't airing.

Constantine (NBC, Fridays at 10pm ET)

4.30 million Overall Viewers
1.4/5 in the 18-49 Demo

While stable numbers like these would likely result in Constantine's renewal, this isn't particularly encouraging for a premiere.  What is encouraging is there was no drop in the 18-49 demo from the first to second half hour, and only a small drop in overall viewers.  In almost all premieres, there's a significant drop from the first to second half hour, and when there isn't it typically means the viewers liked it.  I guess we'll find out next week if these numbers are for real.  It's in trouble if it drops to a 1.2 or below.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Manhattan Love Story (ABC)

Coming as a surprise to no one (as if anyone even knew this show was on), Manhattan Love Story is the first show canceled in the 2014-2015 TV season.  Now that this has happened, expect more bloodletting soon.  A bunch of shows are due to be put out of their miseries.  Thanks for reading.

Thursday, October 2, 2014

Chris Colley's TV Morsels Episode 2: "Honest Promos" For The Pilots Of How To Get Away With Murder (ABC), Black-ish (ABC), Gotham (FOX), Madam Secretary (CBS), The Mysteries of Laura (NBC), Forever (ABC)

You made it back for episode 2, "Honest Promos".  In this video, I'll give an intro and then show you six Honest Promos I created for the six Pilots I've watched this season, so far.  It's not too late to start on any of these shows, if any of the promos grab you in ways the real ones didn't.  I didn't view any marketing materials for any of these shows before editing the Honest Promos, so any crossover with the official trailers is purely coincidental.  My Honest Promos are cut straight from the shows.  Thanks for reading and watching.

Higher quality YouTube version (select the HD options on the settings wheel on YouTube) here.

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

TV Ratings Premiere Notes For Monday, September 22, 2014: The Big Bang Theory (CBS), Gotham (FOX), Scorpion (CBS), Sleepy Hollow (FOX), Forever (ABC), The Blacklist (NBC)

Last night was the first big night of the 2014-2015 TV season, and a lot of people were tuned in.  I'll provide half hour numbers for all of the hour long dramas.

The Big Bang Theory (CBS, Mondays at 8pm ET)

17.752 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
5.3/17 in the 18-49 Demo

17.985 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
5.4/15 in the 18-49 Demo

What a massive shocker that TBBT is doing so poorly this season.  Will it survive the current bubble it's on?  Stay tuned to find out. ;)

Gotham (FOX, Mondays at 8pm ET)

7.767 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
3.1/10 in the 18-49 Demo

8.209 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
3.2/9 in the 18-49 Demo

These are obviously excellent numbers (the rise in the second half hour is a very good thing), and as long as it doesn't crash and burn the show should easily make it to a second season.

Scorpion (CBS, Mondays at 9pm ET)

14.528 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
3.4/9 in the 18-49 Demo

13.488 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
3.1/8 in the 18-49 Demo

That is an ugly drop from the first to second half hour.  I've heard a bunch of bad stuff about the show (not even the slight bit interested in checking it out myself), so we should expect more bloodletting next week.  It's got a bit of room to fall before it's in danger, and only the show's quality will determine whether it continues that fall.

Sleepy Hollow (FOX, Mondays at 9pm ET)

6.030 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
2.2/6 in the 18-49 Demo

5.062 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
1.8/5 in the 18-49 Demo

That's a big drop from the first to second half hour, but I'm comfortable it's no big deal to this show's prospects for renewal.  Its dug in core fan base sits above the cancellation line.

Forever (ABC, Tuesdays at 10pm ET)

8.866 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
1.7/5 in the 18-49 Demo

7.655 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
1.4/4 in the 18-49 Demo

I'm very close to calling this show DOA, but for now, I'll just say the morgue has been prepped for its arrival.  Tonight's episode will probably result in a larger loss of its remaining blood.

The Blacklist (NBC, Mondays at 10pm ET)

13.381 million Overall Viewers (first half hour)
3.7/10 in the 18-49 Demo

11.524 million Overall Viewers (second half hour)
3.1/9 in the 18-49 Demo

NBC's hit continues to reign supreme in the 10pm hour on Monday nights.  The show doesn't really need to be there anymore, but more power to them for keeping it there.  Unfortunately, the episode was mostly devoid of the humor that made it special in season 1.  I'd prefer it not become some gritty story, but that doesn't mean I'll stop watching.

The first big night of the 2014-2015 TV season is in the books.  Thanks for reading.

Monday, September 22, 2014

TV Ratings Premiere Notes For Sunday, September 21, 2014: Madam Secretary (CBS), The Good Wife (CBS)

Madam Secretary (CBS, Sundays at 8pm ET)

14.28 million Overall Viewers
1.9/5 in the 18-49 Demo

That's a pretty huge amount of overall viewers, but we'll have to wait until next week's episode to see if it continues on this run.  This is way above the necessary numbers needed to return on Sundays, so all Madam Secretary needs to do to return is not crash in the ratings in future episodes.  A 1.4 in the 18-49 will be close to what it needs to survive.  So far, so good.

The Good Wife (CBS, Sundays at 9pm ET)

9.95 million Overall Viewers
1.3/4 in the 18-49 Demo

In news that will come as no shock to anyone ever, The Good Wife returned with its typically crappy Sunday night ratings.  Of course, these crappy ratings have always been enough to get it renewed, so whatever.  The Good Wife is kind of the ratings equivalent of The Mindy Project (FOX, Tuesdays at 8:30pm ET).  I don't know why those shows were allowed to return with such bad ratings, but I'm sure the fans of the shows ain't mad at their respective networks.

The numbers I received for these shows (likely due to time slot errors in the document I received) are quite a bit different than what TV by the Numbers reported (I'm using theirs, as it is likely more accurate based on the start times they reported for the shows).  The half hours for Madam Secretary at the time it actually aired were a 2.0 in the first half hour and a 1.8 in the second half hour.  The Good Wife had a 1.4 in the first half hour, and a 1.2 in the second half hour.

Tonight is when everything really begins.  Thanks for reading.

Thursday, September 18, 2014

Sunday, September 14, 2014

Sunday, July 13, 2014

Why You Shouldn't (And Why I'm Not Going To) Watch The Leftovers (HBO)

Below is a picture of all the interesting things that happen in the book The Leftovers.  It wouldn't take much to make the TV show more interesting than the book, but that's not a chance I'm willing to take.  You've been warned.  Thanks for reading.


Wednesday, July 9, 2014

REVIEW: Tyrant (FX, Tuesdays At 10pm ET)

From the people who brought you Homeland seasons 2 and 3 and half of season 1Don't say I didn't warn you.  Thanks for reading.

Thursday, May 15, 2014

Fargo (FX, Tuesdays At 10pm ET)

As close to perfect as TV can get for me.  What are you waiting for?  Thanks for reading.

Sunday, May 11, 2014

Friday, May 9, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Believe (NBC), Crisis (NBC)

The bloodbath continues on my NBC gamble predictions, as Believe was canceled, and even though Crisis was canceled, NBC's hasn't ended yet.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Super Fun Night (ABC)

Let's get this party stopped.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Growing Up Fisher (NBC)

Stick a fork in it.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS (NBC): Hannibal, About a Boy, Revolution, Community

Hannibal and About a Boy have been renewed.

Revolution and Community have been canceled.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS (ABC): Once Upon a Time, Scandal, Revenge, The Goldbergs, Resurrection, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D., Grey's Anatomy, Modern Family, The Middle, Trophy Wife, The Neighbors, Mixology, Suburgatory

Once Upon a Time, Scandal, Revenge, The Goldbergs, Resurrection, Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D., Grey's Anatomy, Modern Family, and The Middle were all renewed.

Trophy Wife, The Neighbors, Mixology, and Suburgatory have been canceled.  Thanks for reading.

Wednesday, May 7, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Dads (FOX), Enlisted (FOX), Surviving Jack (FOX), Rake (FOX), Law & Order: Special Victims Unit (NBC)

All of these shows have been canceled.  Just kidding!  All of the FOX shows listed above were canceled.  SVU was renewed for another season.  Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Almost Human (FOX)

Almost Human has been canceled.  If you read my pointless predictions short list post, you will know that I said the only reason this show would be canceled was politics, as its ratings were plenty good enough to get renewed on FOX.  When looking at a comments section, I read (citation needed) that Karl Urban basically didn't really want to do TV, and we all know Michael Ealy would probably prefer to do movies.  This is a big reason why you don't get working movie actors to do TV shows.  Maybe FOX has learned their lesson.  Interestingly, I think we can coin "The Michael Ealy Curse".  He's now been on two TV shows that had ratings that were good enough to get them renewed, but they weren't.  Is it his fault?  I'll leave that to you to decide. 

As for how I feel about it being canceled, there isn't much to say.  I always thought it was an okay show that never really grabbed me.  Toward the end, a nice chemistry had built between the two leads, but the rest of the show was ultimately forgettable.  It still should have been renewed, but I can guarantee you that you won't miss it as much as I still miss Alcatraz (a show that would get renewed today).  Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Chris Colley's TV Blog*'s Short List Of Pointless Scripted TV Renewal/Cancellation Predictions For The Fall 2013 TV Season (Big 4 Networks Only)

FOR UPDATES SCROLL TO THE BOTTOM OF THE POST

Sorry folks, I've been really terrible about keeping up with my blog.  As work (a good thing) surpasses my free time, this will fall by the wayside.  I don't know how much I'll do with the blog anymore, though I will try to keep up with it the best I can when I have time. 

If you've been a regular follower of my blog, you'll know that a big portion of the "added value" of it is that I like to make predictions of what will and won't be canceled or renewed on the big 4 networks.  I haven't ever been perfect, but I've had a pretty good track record in the few years I've been doing in depth analysis of trying to figure out what will and won't go (sometimes even beating competitors like TV by the Numbers, though I am obviously not much competition).  Unfortunately, since I've been so bad at keeping up with my blog, renewals and cancellations have flown by me without even the slightest bit of notice or attention.  I've only seen what I would consider to be maybe one surprise (a renewal of The Mindy Project), so as far as I'm concerned, I'm batting 1.000. ;)

This is gonna be a TOUGH year for predictions of what hasn't been announced yet.  TV by the Numbers is famous for saying "DVR doesn't matter".  Last year, I said that DVR does matter, just not as much as you might think, but that the tide was changing.  This year, OH HELL YEAH, DVR MATTERS!  If you don't think so, how can you explain renewals of shows like The Following and The Mindy ProjectThe Following has numbers in the 18-49 demo for Live+Same Day (L+SD) that are just absolutely pathetic (woe is me Alcatraz, a great DVR performer that was here too soon).  But, if you look at the DVR numbers, you will see that it has a huge, uh, following on DVR.  FOX has put out numerous press releases this season talking about DVR numbers, and awesome this awesome that.  But until a renewal came up that would have failed in L+SD, there was no data to back up that those numbers were important.  At FOX, they are HUGELY important.  When factoring in their potential renewals or cancellations, pay close attention to what they're doing in the DVR ratings.

I'm not going to give out my proprietary DVR ratings analysis, but I am very confident that I can peg exactly when most viewers are watching their TV shows (hint, it's much closer to the airdate than previously assumed).  Armed with the nice precedents we've seen, with some of the early renewals, I think it makes some of the rest of the renewals easier to predict.  I also think we're in a pretty impossible situation in regards to some shows, and there's a good chance that a lot of prognosticators are going to be embarrassed.  If you know me, I'm the guy who predicts cancellation of all your favorite shows.  However, in the new era of TV, getting renewals of those same types of shows right is the new black.  I'm aware that many of the predictions I will list below could be wrong, but I feel there is enough data to back up my decisions, even if there isn't enough of a precedent.  If I'm right on most of these, a new era is upon us, and we can begin to adjust the thinking of tunnel visioned sites like TV by the Numbers.  If I'm wrong, well, we're still a couple of years out from being able to determine this stuff more easily.  Last year, I got several right that they got wrong, and this year I am going pretty far against the grain of what they think will happen.  I'll list shows that haven't had decisions made yet (as far as I know), what I think should (or will) happen, and any caveats or comments about my decisions that could make my prediction fall closer to 50/50.  I have enough data to make a decision based on pure numbers, but I can't begin to analyze the politics that might go into a dumb decision like The Mentalist not getting renewed on CBS.  This won't be my typical list of shows, with a straight "renew it" or "cancel it", I'm actually going to give a little insight to how I come up with these decisions, even if it's tiny in a show's case.  Let's get to it.

ABC


What's left:
Mixology
The Neighbors
Super Fun Night
Trophy Wife
Black Box (Added May 7, 2014)
Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.
Castle
The Goldbergs
Grey's Anatomy
Last Man Standing
The Middle
Modern Family
Nashville
Once Upon a Time
Resurrection
Revenge
Scandal
Suburgatory (somehow I missed this, so I won't take credit for any guess, which helps my prediction average...lol)

I'm in complete agreement with TV by the Numbers on what will happen on ABC (a network that usually is the one that messes up my perfect prediction record).  For the shows that are highlighted in red, I think they're done.  No explanation is necessary here, because all of these shows fates were easy to predict for one reason or another, in my opinion.  For the shows that are in blue, I'm pretty much 100 percent positive that they'll get renewed.  I've been predicting renewal of The Goldbergs for a very long time, when the numbers didn't look so great for its return.  So, while TV by the Numbers might have eventually realized that train was too big to stop, I don't think they settled on to that prediction for quite awhile.  That's the one show where DVR is mattering.  Its L+SD ratings are right on the bubble for ABC sitcoms, but it is an outstanding DVR performer (something almost no ABC comedies have going for them).  The Goldbergs (you too, Nashville), you can thank DVR ratings for your renewal.  For a few of the others that are sitting in very similar bubble positions (Mixology, Super Fun Night), you can blame lack of DVR numbers for your cancellation.

CBS

What's left:
The Crazy Ones
Hostages
Intelligence
The Mentalist
Friends with Better Lives
Unforgettable (no decision made)
Bad Teacher (Added May 7, 2014)

CBS is always just good enough that I screw up one or two of their predictions, but I generally have a good finger on their pulse.  I'll keep with the same red/blue designations from above, but these I can talk a little bit about separately.

The Crazy Ones

I quit this show very early in the season (after the second episode maybe), because it just wasn't for me.  Its ratings went on a horrible slide from its very high debut to where it's sitting at now.  This show is a POOR DVR performer.  Bad L+SD and bad DVR numbers mean The Crazy Ones has got to go.  Sorry to anyone I know who knows someone who's involved with the show.

Hostages

I thought this show was intended as a one-off, so I'm not really sure why it's even here.  At any rate, if it were a one-off, it was really just a burn off.  If it had the potential of other seasons, it lost that after the first or second episode.  Easiest cancellation EVAR.

Intelligence

Yeah, terrible L+SD numbers with okay DVR numbers do not make a renewal on CBS.

The Mentalist

I cannot even fathom why this show would be canceled, and The Good Wife would be renewed.  The ratings for The Mentalist are better week by week in DVR.  This is Sunday, people, a 1.4 in the 18-49 demo is enough for a renewal, and if it has any kind of DVR bump, that means more seasons.  The ONLY reason this show would not be renewed is due to pure politics.  And that appears to be a real potential with the show...

Friends with Better Lives

It's a little early for me to make this prediction, but I don't care.  It had decent premiere numbers with barely any DVR bump.  This week's numbers were a big fall from the premiere, and I'm predicting it has the same DVR bump.  I don't see this returning.

Unforgettable

This show is caught in some kind of strange limbo.  It should have been canceled after its first season (oh wait, it was! but renewed...huh?), and was then brought in as a Summer show.  Now part of its run is a late 2013-2014 TV season exhibition.  It did okay in the Summer, but it ain't doin' okay now.  If this show gets to return, it will also be because of pure politics.  There is evidently talk that this would go to The Mentalist's slot on Sundays provided that does not return.  Come on CBS, think seriously about this, do what you have to do bring The Mentalist back.  Keep in mind that if you renew this show, and put it on Sundays, you're pretty much obligated to give it a fourth season with horrific ratings.  Is that really what you want?  This show isn't worth backing, in my opinion.

FOX


What's left:
Almost Human
Dads
Enlisted
Surviving Jack
Family Guy (like I care about animation chances)

I've had my finger on FOX's pulse for years, and don't think I've gotten anything wrong of theirs in 2 years.  Maybe I have, maybe I haven't, it doesn't really matter.  There are two shows I'm singling out here to talk about, Almost Human and Dads.  Everything else is pretty obvious.

Almost Human had what would be considered decent ratings in L+SD almost all of its season (usually higher than the renewed The Following).  It also had very good DVR numbers.  If this show does not get renewed, it will be a TRAVESTY.  There's absolutely no reason for it to not get renewed, outside of pure politics.  If it doesn't get renewed, that will be two shows Michael Ealy's been involved with that should have been renewed, but weren't, and both would be purely out of politics in play.  Let's hope cooler heads prevail here.

Dads had anemic ratings throughout much of its season, but began recovering a little bit late in the season.  It sits firmly on the FOX sitcom bubble, in my opinion, but I can't in good conscience call for a renewal.  It's just not getting it done on DVR, and never has.  Because of that, and FOX's definite reliance on them (see The Following for precedent), I think it's gonna go.  I would not be surprised to see it renewed, with the expanded programming hours available next season, but I think it will go.  It could even cry foul over The Mindy Project's renewal (which has guaranteed FOX another 2 years of very low ratings with it), but The Mindy Project is actually a good show that's not being watched live, and is still being watched more than Dads when factoring in DVR ratings (which, as I said above, are important to FOX).

NBC

What's left:
Believe
Crisis
Dracula
Growing Up Fisher*
Revolution
Parenthood
About a Boy
Community
Hannibal
Law & Order: Special Victims Unit

The fact that SVU hasn't been renewed yet could be a gift from God.  There's no real reason why it shouldn't be when factoring in all numbers, but if it is canceled, it will be a true Hallelujah! from me.  Law & Order is one of my favorite franchises in TV history, but I quit that stupid azz show this season, because I just couldn't take it anymore.  With the new Chicago franchise, Wolf should be more than happy to let this go away.  It got about four more seasons than it deserved.

Digression aside, it's like NBC is my twin from birth.  No matter how wacky my predictions have been based on conventional wisdom, I don't think I've been wrong about a prediction on their network since I started this (citation needed).  It's nice to see TV by the Numbers get on the bus and make some out there predictions this season (Hannibal has given us nothing other than sheer hope that it will come back, as I'm having extreme difficulty finding "practical" reasons for it to return despite it being my current favorite show).  I'll single out some of these, to try to give my reasons why I think they might return (or be canceled).  If you guessed that DVR was playing a huge role in these decisions, you'd be right.

Believe

Believe has terrible L+SD ratings, and is in a terrible time slot.  But, it in a big positive, it nearly doubles its ratings every week in DVR.  That's a huge jump that can't be ignored, in my opinion.  It's also a Sunday show, so NBC could easily renew this and not feel bad about it at all.  They might not, but they definitely could.  I'd renew it, and this isn't the most bizarre thing I'll write in this NBC prediction pile.

Crisis
If we look at the L+SD numbers, there's almost no discernible difference between this and the show I listed above.  So, why did I choose to cancel this and renew the other?  If you guessed DVR numbers, you'd be right.  Crisis has okay DVR numbers, but the part that plays the biggest role for me (L+3) is just barely above the bubble, or on the bubble, for Sunday shows.  Believe is significantly above the bubble in L+3.  That's why I'd cancel this, and renew that.

Dracula

I think Dracula will finally have a stake driven through his heart, even though Hannibal has not done any better in this time slot, or in DVR.  Dracula could make the case that it deserves to return, instead of Hannibal, but it's too busy loving Hannibal to choose itself over that.  Dracula would also prefer to stay out of Hannibal's rolodex.

Growing Up Fisher

NBC comedy ratings typically suck.  The ratings of this show suck less (are significantly above the bubble for L+SD), and the DVR numbers are acceptable.  I have no idea why this wouldn't be renewed, even if it's not.

Revolution

I don't watch the show anymore, but it's flown completely under the radar all season.  It has tepid L+SD ratings in a pretty terrible time slot.  However, it has quite good DVR ratings (L+3 above the line of NBC renewal, in my opinion).  If I were NBC, I would move this show to Fridays at 8pm (move Dateline somewhere else).  If they aren't willing to move it to Fridays, it should probably go, but this is definitely a viable Friday show (and would pair nicely with Grimm, I think).  I could very easily see it having a Hawaii Five-O type resurgence moving there.  Let's see if NBC is dumb or smart on this one.  This show should not die, even if it ultimately does.

Parenthood

Ah, Parenthood, you're the Rules of Engagement of NBC.  You take a licking but keep on ticking.  You came into the death slot on NBC (Thursdays at 10pm), and out performed every single show there in the last 3 or 4 years.  That alone should be enough to get you a renewal.  If you need a backup from the Principal, just use your excellent DVR numbers, and don't let them cancel you.

Community

Last season, I gave NBC a chance to be smart and move this, along with Parks and Recreation to Fridays (ensuring as many seasons as they want for both), but they didn't do it.  Of course, both shows' ratings have been terrible, and Community's DVR numbers are piss poor.  Wait, unless NBC does move both of those shows to Fridays next season, see you later Community.  But, I just gave them the best option for Fridays, Revolution.  Hmm, I don't know what to do now.  Since Parks got renewed, it will need a similarly themed show to go along with it.  Community is the only one of those types of shows left on NBC, so who knows?  There's no reason why Community deserves to stay, but NBC may have boxed themselves into a corner with what they did with Parks.  Hmmm, I'm calling that I'm right no matter what happens here. ;)

Hannibal

Hannibal, in my opinion, is THE best show on TV (that I'm watching).  If the EMMYs ignore this show again, I will absolutely lose it (okay, probably not).  Its L+SD ratings have been extremely disappointing behind Grimm.  I would have thought the exact same audience watches both, but I guess that's not the case.  I would have thought it would have lit up the DVR ratings, but that's not the case.  Instead, it's had poor L+SD ratings, and poor DVR ratings.  Other than prestige and quality (and that the show will end up somewhere if it's not on NBC), Hannibal hasn't really done enough to return.  I can cross my eyes and say, "but the L+3 numbers would be close to the Friday bubble", if I look hard, but that's about it.  I think quality, prestige, and suitors will make it return on NBC, but there is absolutely no way the numbers back up a renewal (as much as I want them to).  I'm expecting an announcement about the show's fate sometime in the week following the EMMY nominations. ;)

Well, that's some of my thought process behind why I think certain shows should be renewed or canceled, and some are even against the professional prognosticators.  I think there's a chance I won't be right on some of this stuff, but if I am, remember where you saw it.  Thanks for reading.

****UPDATE May 7, 2014****

After seeing last night's ratings for Growing Up Fisher, I've changed my mind and am now predicting cancellation.  About a Boy could have a similar change if it doesn't pick it up again in the next couple of weeks.

****UPDATE May 15, 2014 (The Tally)****

Now that almost all of the renewals and cancellations have come in, I can tell you how I did.  The only one that still hasn't been decided is Unforgettable (technically a Summer show, aired in the Spring as probably an audition for The Mentalist's time slot, which it reained), which is going to get canceled.  There's no reason for it to return.  It has bad Live+Same Day ratings, and terrible DVR ratings.  If they give it another season, they'd have to give it two more, so there you go.  I don't know if it will ever be announced, but don't expect anything positive. 

After certain news came out, I realized that I had missed Suburgatory on my list and didn't give a prediction.  I would have predicted renewal, but since you can't bet on the outcome of sporting events after they've happened, I won't give myself credit for it (being wrong).  It never had great ratings, but it typically did okay, and one more full season would have gotten it nearly enough episodes to get into syndication.  I guess its cancellation shows what kind of syndication prospects it had.  Other than that missed miss, I got everything right on ABC.  Oh, I should say that Black Box's fate has not been determined, but I'm already determining it for you right now. :)

I did get everything right on CBS, and when Unforgettable's fate is decided, I will be right there, as well.  Interestingly, what we learned about this season on CBS is that DVR ratings do matter to them.  CBS was the biggest dinosaur network around, but got on board the Amazon bandwagon with its outstanding Under the Dome deal (it had essentially broken even before it even aired, but became a huge hit), and now has started factoring in DVR ratings into its renewals and cancellations.  Who would have thought that the biggest dinosaur could become the most forward thinking network nearly overnight?  Nice job, CBS.  I know that network almost never expects to hear those words from me.

As for FOX, cooler heads did not prevail and Almost Human, despite being a very renewable property, was not.  Other than that, I got everything remaining correct.

NBC, tsk tsk tsk.  If there is one thing we learned about NBC this season, it's that DVR ratings do not matter to them one bit.  Not a single show with a large spread in Live+Same Day to Live+7 DVR numbers was renewed.  That's how you know that DVR ratings don't matter to them.  The shows I got "wrong" were Believe and Revolution, but if you look at what I originally wrote, I was basically right anyway.  I said the only scenarios where I thought the two shows would return, and they didn't fit in those scenarios.  For a show like Believe, that was saddled with a terrible time slot and performed well in DVR ratings, it has to be disappointing.  The same could probably be said for Revolution, but it now looks like NBC is the only dinosaur network left, and the only one that apparently does not factor DVR ratings into any renewals (Parks and Recreation got the 30 Rock treatment, so it doesn't count).  There's no discernible metric for why Hannibal was renewed, other than prestige, but it looks like NBC proved that even a stopped clock is right twice a day in regards to renewing the second best show I watch on TV (Fargo is number 1 for me).

Ultimately, I got three shows wrong, and all three shows were shows I could see getting canceled when I originally wrote this post.  If there's nothing else I take from this season, it's that we can't rely on DVR ratings for NBC until they prove otherwise.  I won't factor in DVR ratings into any future NBC predictions until I start being wrong again.

Saturday, April 5, 2014

The Essence of NBC's Hannibal Lecter

While watching last night's episode of Hannibal (NBC, Fridays at 10pm ET), I came to realize that his character can be boiled down (lol) to the promo "poster" I created below.  I used the most appropriate image I could find from google, and then did the best I could with creating the text.  If NBC wants to steal my idea and make it good enough to be real promotional material, I wouldn't mind.  ;) Hopefully you'll enjoy the tone of it.  Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Big News Out Of TNT

TNT has just announced that Major Crimes has been canceled, and that Kyra Sedgwick will return for a new season of The Closer.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: NCIS (CBS), The Big Bang Theory (CBS)

Inexplicably, CBS has announced the cancellations of NCIS and The Big Bang Theory and has immediately pulled them from their schedule.  Thanks for reading.

Thursday, February 13, 2014

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: Sean Saves The World (NBC), The Michael J. Fox Show (NBC), Killer Women (ABC)

Well, I might as well catch up with what has been a long delay on long past news.  All of the shows mentioned in the title have essentially been canceled.  Sean Saves the World had production stopped, The Michael J. Fox Show is being replaced after the Olympics, and Killer Women had its order shortened.  While only SSTW is confirmed as official, the rest are as official as they need to be, even if they eventually became official, and I didn't notice it, during the busy period I've had lately.  The worst part of writing this was how long the names of the shows were.  Thanks for reading.

Les Moonves Says The Big Bang Theory May Move To Saturdays Next Fall

Pass it on.  The power of the English language is in action here.  Thanks for reading.

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

TV Ratings Note For Monday, January 13, 2014: Intelligence (CBS)

Intelligence (CBS, Mondays at 10pm ET)

6.11 million Overall Viewers
1.1/3 in the 18-49 Demo

Well, that was exactly the kind of disaster CBS was hoping for when Intelligence premiered in its real time slot...not.  Thanks for reading.

RENEW/CANCEL NEWS: The Assets (ABC), The Newsroom (HBO)

ABC unceremoniously yanked the poorly performing, The Assets, after just two episodes, despite only eight being in its whole run.  Maybe they'll burn it off on Saturdays sometime in May.  When a miniseries gets yanked like that, it must mean it will eventually really suck.  I guess I'll let you know in May (if they air it).

The Newsroom has also been canceled, but will have a final third season.  We could always just boycott starting right now.  Nah, I'll watch it, since I am an Associate Producer of the show (every subscriber of HBO is an Associate Producer--old industry joke--due to your subscriber fees paying for their programming).  Thanks for reading.

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

TV Premiere Ratings Notes For Tuesday, January 7, 2014: Intelligence (CBS), Killer Women (ABC)

A couple of new shows premiered last night.  Let's see how they did.  Numbers were gotten via TV by the Numbers.

Intelligence (CBS, Mondays at 10pm ET)

16.59 million Overall Viewers
2.4/6 in the 18-49 Demo

Last night, CBS gave a special preview of Intelligence, after their high rated show NCIS.  It had a modest drop off from its lead in, and a whole lot of old people watched it.  It even beat Person of Interest, a show it appears to have some commonality with.  CBS viewers will never stop confusing me, but that's life.  We'll see how it does behind younger skewing comedy in its real start next week.  CBS would probably be extremely happy if the show does anything remotely close to these numbers next Monday.  It won't.

Killer Women (ABC, Tuesdays at 10pm ET)

3.87 million Overall Viewers
0.9/2 in the 18-49 Demo

Here's the potential audience's reaction to Killer Women:

Yeah...no.

ABC's terrible show names and 2014 woes continue, as their 10pm ratings, throughout most of the week, just aren't getting it done.  Thanks for reading.

Friday, January 3, 2014

TV Premiere Ratings Notes For Thursday, January 2, 2014: Community (NBC), The Crazy Ones (CBS), Sean Saves The World (NBC), The Michael J. Fox Show (NBC), Elementary (CBS), Parenthood (NBC), The Assets (ABC)

I'm going to be lazy and steal the numbers from TV by the Numbers today, just to get this over with.  There isn't much to say, other than that just about everyone's numbers for their first show back from the holidays were pretty damn bad.

Community (NBC, Thursdays at 8pm ET)

3.74 million Overall Viewers (8pm episode)
1.3/4 in the 18-49 Demo

3.03 million Overall Viewers (8:30pm episode)
1.2/3 in the 18-49 Demo

Community fans, you can thank NBC for this lackluster start.  All they needed to do was put Community and Parks and Recreation on Fridays at 8pm and 8:30pm, and you would see another season for each show.  Instead, they put them right back where they were nearly failing, and guess what?  They're still failing.  For the last two seasons, I have told Community fans not to fear one bit, they would be coming back, despite everyone else thinking they'd get canceled.  Well, Community fans, it's now time to worry, because this is probably it.

The Crazy Ones (CBS, Thursdays at 9pm ET)

8.24 million Overall Viewers
2.0/5 in the 18-49 Demo

After the huge Fall start of this show, CBS has to be scratching their heads about why this show is now officially on the bubble.  With ratings like these, it looks like I jumped ship at the proper time...right at the beginning.

Sean Saves the World (NBC, Thursdays at 9pm ET)

2.77 million Overall Viewers
0.8/2 in the 18-49 Demo

There were some outright hilarious moments in this episode, and the show is still outright dead.

The Michael J. Fox Show (NBC, Thursdays at 9:30pm ET)

2.52 million Overall Viewers
0.8/2 in the 18-49 Demo

Oh, is this still on?

Elementary (CBS, Thursdays at 10pm ET)

8.92 million Overall Viewers
1.8/5 in the 18-49 Demo

This show is consistently one of the best performers in the DVR ratings.  This is CBS, people, so you're putting too much faith in them to not be stupid over this show's ratings.  I think it will get another season, but these numbers are terrifying for such a great show.

Parenthood (NBC, Thursdays at 10pm ET)

3.99 million Overall Viewers
1.3/3 in the 18-49 Demo

Can you say, "final season"?

The Assets (ABC, Thursdays at 10pm ET)

3.78 million Overall Viewers
0.7/2 in the 18-49 Demo

I didn't even know this show was on until Tuesday.  I don't remember anything about why this show is here.  I recorded it, but have no idea what it's about other than like spies or something.  So, 0.7 can't come as a shock to anyone.  That might even be higher than they should have expected, with such an invisible show.  Thanks for reading.
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